Michael PittmanNT

PIT · WR · bye 9 · age 28.9 · sample: 82 games, 2021-2025

NT — new team. 2026 team differs from where this history was produced. The M0 model deliberately does not adjust for the move yet (that arrives in M1); treat with judgment.

Rank #60 overall · WR26 · 15.8 of 17 games expected

Simulated season-total distribution

10,000 simulated 2× PPR outcomes — the bars are how often each point range occurred. Trust the median more than the band width (see methodology).

Percentiles

Projected season total at each percentile (points).

5th	181
10th · floor	194
25th	216
50th · median	240
75th	265
90th · ceiling	288
95th	301

Value over replacement & market

VOR = points above a freely-available WR in a 10-team league.

VOR (median)	4.9
VOR floor / ceiling	-41.3 / 52.2
Overall / positional rank	#60 · WR26
ADP (proxy)	70.6
Value vs ADP	+10.6

ADP: Fantasy Football Calculator · 2× PPR uses the PPR list as a proxy

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M1c-roles-v0.4.0 · 10,000 sims/player · build 69b6671 · generated 2026-07-24T03:50:47Z · Data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0)